Rolla, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

429
FXUS63 KSGF 032343
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
643 PM CDT Sat May 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chances (30-50%) of light rain showers and a few rumbles of
  thunder over the eastern Ozarks this afternoon/early evening. No
  severe weather is expected.

- Cooler temperatures will occur this weekend with highs in the
  60s and lows in the 40s.

- Additional shower and thunderstorm chances (30-75%) return to
  the area Tuesday into Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sat May 3 2025

The upper level low is currently situated just northeast of the CWA,
with models continuing to indicate it becoming cut-off and nearly
stationary over the Ohio Valley region into the beginning of the
week. As a result, continued to keep 30-50% pops this
afternoon, primarily along and east of Hwy 63 to account for any
energy that wraps around the system into the eastern Ozarks
bringing light rain. Some echoes are currently being observed on
radar in this vicinity. We`re not ruling out a rumble of
thunder or two, however instability remains weak, and
probability of thunder remains below 25%.

The cooler airmass continues this weekend, with afternoon
temperatures so far in the upper 50s to low 60s across the
area (as of 1:15PM), and highs on Sunday in the mid to upper
60s as well. Lows both tonight and tomorrow night are expected
to drop into the low 40s area- wide.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sat May 3 2025

Starting Monday, the aforementioned upper level low will begin
to move off to the northeast, with mid-level heights rising over
the region. As a result, a warmer air mass will begin to push
into the area from the west, bringing highs in the upper 60s/low
70s west of Hwy 65, and the mid to upper 60s east of Hwy 65.

Another upper level low over the western CONUS will begin to push
towards the region during the middle of the week, bringing
additional precipitation to the area. With this still several days
out, discrepancies between ensembles continue to exist. However
shower and thunderstorm chances (30-75%) return as early as
Tuesday afternoon, lingering into Thursday night. As we get
closer to this time period, more specific details on rainfall
amounts, thunderstorm chances, etc. will be hashed out.

Afternoon highs will generally warm into the 70s through next
week, however additional rainfall could keep temperatures in the
60s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 640 PM CDT Sat May 3 2025

High confidence in VFR conditions prevailing through the entire
TAF period at all sites. A 5 kft cu field is gradually
diminishing and should dissipate to clear skies after 02Z
with calming northerly winds. After 16Z, another 4 kft cu field
will develop, slowly rising to 5 kft between 20-00Z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Melto
LONG TERM...Melto
AVIATION...Price